Empire Center Rebuttal to NY Health Department Pushback

Excerpt:

“The salient policy question isn’t whether the March 25th memo introduced COVID into nursing homes, but whether it contributed to higher infection and mortality rates.

“The department’s comments show that it either doesn’t understand statistics, or is willfully ignoring our findings. Our analysis does, in fact, show a consistent relationship between transfers from hospitals to nursing homes and COVID fatalities. These findings were robust to several statistical assumptions.

“Our report included a statewide statistical analysis, which showed that transfers were associated with deaths at the 99 percent confidence level. Those statewide estimates are the ones we used to estimate that transfers were associated with hundreds of additional deaths. In digging a bit deeper, we hypothesized a differential effect upstate and downstate, which was then corroborated by our analysis.

Author(s): press release

Publication Date: 19 February 2021

Publication Site: Empire Center for Public Policy

Who has died from Covid-19 in the US?

Link: https://www.vox.com/22252693/covid-19-deaths-us-who-died

Graphic:

Excerpt:

Death at this scale is difficult to comprehend, or visualize. To get a clearer sense of the shifting burden of Covid-19 deaths over time, Vox analyzed coronavirus mortality by age, region, and race from the past year, based on data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Johns Hopkins University.

We found that while Covid-19 spared no group, it impacted certain populations more than others. Throughout the pandemic, people of color have consistently been disproportionately sickened and killed by the virus. They also died young: Of Covid-19 deaths in people under the age of 45, more than 40 percent were Hispanic and about a quarter were Black.

Author(s): Youyou Zhou and Julia Belluz

Publication Date: 16 February 2021

Publication Site: Vox

Covid-19’s second wave has devastated eastern European countries

Link: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/02/15/covid-19s-second-wave-has-devastated-eastern-european-countries

Graphic:

Excerpt:

In the spring, as the virus ravaged western Europe, countries in the former eastern bloc quickly introduced border controls and lockdowns, and were largely spared. Belgium, Britain, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain and Sweden accounted for almost all of the continent’s deaths. Each suffered a monthly excess-mortality rate of at least 12 people per 100,000 (averaged from March to May). The country in eastern Europe that got closest was Belarus, which recorded a monthly rate of 8 per 100,000, after imposing almost no restrictions on daily life. Others were markedly lower.

Publication Date: 15 February 2021

Publication Site: The Economist

Mortality with Meep: Excess Mortality in California, Texas, and Florida by Race/Ethnicity

Link: https://marypatcampbell.substack.com/p/mortality-with-meep-excess-mortality-8e2

Excerpt:

For Hispanics, it’s two thirds, with most of it coming from California (23%), then Texas (21%), then Florida (10%). New York City accounts for 9%, and then the rest of New York state for 3%.

UPDATE: Checking out the Hispanic population by state, these percentages are a little in line with national distribution — California (26% of U.S. Hispanic population), Texas (19%), Florida (9%), New York (including NYC — 6%). The most disproportionate effect comes from New York City.

Graph:

Author: Mary Pat Campbell

Publication Date: 31 January 2021

Publication Site: STUMP

Mortality with Meep: Excess Mortality in New York and New York City

Link: https://marypatcampbell.substack.com/p/mortality-with-meep-excess-mortality

Excerpt:

For the data I have as of 27 January 2021, NYC mortality provides 9% of excess mortality for non-Hispanic Black people in the entire U.S. [8,638 excess deaths for Black people in NYC out of total 99,514 excess deaths for Black people in the entire country].

We get the same statistics for Hispanics in NYC: 97,725 excess deaths for the whole country, and 8,608 in NYC alone.

So excess deaths for these two groups have about 9% each coming just from NYC alone.

Graphic:

Author: Mary Pat Campbell

Publication Date: 30 January 2021

Publication Site: STUMP