Tag: interest rates

Bonds Yields Jump Again Wiping Out the May Treasury Rally

Mary Pat Campbell

Link: https://mishtalk.com/economics/bonds-yields-jump-again-wiping-out-the-may-treasury-rally/

Graphic:

Excerpt:

Yield on the 10-year treasury is 4.59 percent on May 29, right where it started the month. A quarter-point rally on hopes of rate cuts vanished today.

Yields are still lower than the 2024 intraday peak of 4.74 percent, but they are nearly 70 basis points higher than the start of the year as rate cut after rate cut hopes keep getting priced out.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari says he wants to see “many more months” of positive inflation numbers before interest rates start to come down — and refused to rule out a rate hike if needed.

Author(s): Mike Shedlock

Publication Date: 29 May 2024

Publication Site: Mish Talk

Ominous Technical Trends for US Treasury Bulls, Three Durations

Mary Pat Campbell

Link:https://mishtalk.com/economics/ominous-technical-trends-for-us-treasury-bulls-three-durations/

Graphic:

Image courtesy of Stockcharts.Com, inset by Centerpoint Securities, annotations by Mish.

Excerpt:

Technical patterns on 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year US treasuries all suggest yields are heading higher. Let’s also discuss the supporting fundamental case.

Centerpoint explains “An ascending triangle chart pattern is a bullish technical pattern that typically signals the continuation of an uptrend. They can signal a coming bullish breakout above an area of resistance after it has been tested several times.”

Many people do not believe in technical patterns, others believe in nothing else. Certainly, technical patterns fail often enough.

My take is they work best as entry and exit point strategies, especially when fundamentals align.

Author(s): Mike Shedlock

Publication Date: 3 Apr 2024

Publication Site: MishTalk