As interest-rate jitters supercharged a meltdown in the world’s biggest bond market, Sam Sicilia barely blinked.
“The markets are wrong” about inflation expectations, said Sicilia, chief investment officer of the A$56 billion ($43 billion) Host-Plus Pty pension fund in Melbourne. “Deflationary forces are bigger. Interest rates are going to stay at effectively zero.”
With governments around the globe still adding to trillions of dollars of stimulus to ride out the pandemic, pension fund managers who are trying to discern the long-term effects are posing the question: Will inflation make a comeback? If it does, more than $46 trillion of global pension assets would be affected as central banks pivoted toward sustained higher interest rates.
Author(s): Ruth Carson, Matthew Burgess
Publication Date: 1 March 2021
Publication Site: Yahoo Finance