German death figures 2023 – almost back to normal, still a disturbing overall picture




Destatis yesterday published deaths figures for the whole of 2023. In order to obtain a reliable assessment of the situation, I calculated the weekly time series of life expectancy, applied an ARIMA forecast from the reference epoch 2016-2020 and compared it with the actual values. In this way, results are now available for all 4 pandemic years to date (Fig. 1)

Author(s): Ulf Lorre

Publication Date: 10 Jan 2024

Publication Site: Demographic Data Analysis